Blitzburgh Pick’em: Week 16

This week, the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4) will be playing the Carolina Panthers (2-12) at Heinz field. This is the last home game for the Steelers, as well as the last Thursday night game of the NFL season. All is not lost after the loss to the Jets last week…if the Steelers can win out; we get the #2 seed in the AFC. The Panthers are playing for something else entirely. They are playing for respect, jobs for next year, and the number 1 pick in the draft.

 

Jump for our Predictions on this game and the rest of Week 16.

 

Bam:

The Panthers suck and I think the Steelers will play angry, physical football this week. Polamalu will likely sit out but the Steelers are a good enough team to beat Carolina without the all-everything safety. If this one is close, I’ll be disappointed…

Steelers 27 Panthers 13

Brian:

What do you need to say about Carolina? They’re bad. Management is pushing John Fox out and a spectacular loss to a contender would help that process. Even though the Steelers never seem to blow out bad teams, I’ll say Pittsburgh wins.

Steelers 35 Panthers 7

George:
Here are the rankings for the Steelers and Panthers in several categories from Football Outsiders and Advanced NFL Stats:

 

Team Overall Pass Offense Run Offense Pass Defense Run Defense Special Teams

Penalty Rate

PIT FO-3; ANS-3 FO-3; ANS-9 FO-13; ANS-16 FO-4; ANS-5 FO-1; ANS-1 FO-14 ANS-28
CAR FO-30; ANS-31 FO-31; ANS-32 FO-32; ANS-15 FO-7; ANS-13 FO-23; ANS-13 FO-16 ANS-19

My guess is you didn’t need these rankings to know Carolina’s one of the worst teams in the league, but it’s helpful nevertheless. However, the fact that the Panthers are strongest defensively against the pass, and especially against No. 1 and 2 receivers, makes me think this game will be a lot closer than it would appear on paper. The Panthers are also last in the league against tight ends, so look for Heath Miller and Matt Spaeth to be targeted even more than they were last week.
With the game at home, the Steelers appear to have the advantage in this one. Both Football Outsiders and Advanced NFL Stats pick the Steelers to win. They must keep the penalties down, though, if they don’t to let the Panthers back in the game. I’ll be skeptical until they show they can do that. 

Steelers 24 Panthers 17

Matt:

This is a game that most people are looking at as an automatic win for the Steelers. I am one of those people. There is no reason the Steelers shouldn’t dominate this game, even without Polomalu playing.

The Steelers missed out on a great opportunity last week, and I think the message all week was to close things out. The Steelers can’t give the Ravens the division, because I think everyone wants to avoid New England for as long as we can. The best way of doing that is getting the #2 seed, and not having to play them till the Conference Championship Game.  The first step in that process is beating Carolina. The Steelers will be playing aggressive football, and playing it with a purpose. This should be a blowout.

Steelers 27 Panthers 9  

Below are the Staff Picks for the rest of this week’s games.

 

STAFF PICKS

 

WEEK 16

Bam

Brian

George

Matt

2010 Record

147-77

138-86

139-85

141-83

Carolina @ Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

Dallas @ Arizona

Dallas

Dallas

Dallas

Dallas

New York Jets @ Chicago

Chicago

Chicago

Chicago

New York Jets

New England @ Buffalo

New England

New England

New England

New England

Tennessee @ Kansas City

Tennessee

Kansas City

Kansas City

Tennessee

Washington @ Jacksonville

Jacksonville

Jacksonville

Jacksonville

Jacksonville

Detroit @ Miami

Miami

Miami

Miami

Detroit

San Francisco @ St. Louis

St. Louis

St. Louis

San Francisco

St. Louis

Baltimore @ Cleveland

Baltimore

Baltimore

Baltimore

Baltimore

Houston @ Denver

Houston

Houston

Houston

Houston

Indianapolis @ Oakland

Indianapolis

Indianapolis

Indianapolis

Indianapolis

San Diego @ Cincinnati

San Diego

San Diego

San Diego

San Diego

Seattle @ Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay

New York Giants @ Green Bay

New York Giants

Green Bay

Green Bay

Green Bay

Minnesota @Philadelphia

Philadelphia

Philadelphia

Philadelphia

Philadelphia

New Orleans @ Atlanta

New Orleans

New Orleans

Atlanta

Atlanta

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